Economic future of Bangladesh in Next Ten Years: Growth without Development?

bangladesh economy

Before commenting on the economic future of Bangladesh, we must understand the current state it is in this moment. Now, Bangladesh is a developing economy with a good GDP growth of around 6% over the recent years. Known as a resilient economy, Bangladesh has done well against the global economic meltdown of 2008-2009 and the many natural calamities in recent years. Export earnings has been increasing in recent years with the export basket remaining largely undiversified with almost three quarters of the income being generated by Ready Made Garments (RMG) sector. Another source of revenue for Bangladesh is the expatriates who send billions of dollars back home each year.

Bangladesh economy is discernibly dependent on its huge and inexpensive labor force. Be it the RMG sector or the foreign remittance, Bangladesh is taking advantage of its population. However, this population is also the main cause of concern for the country as it remains poverty stricken and largely unskilled. Having one of the highest population density in the world, Bangladesh economy will always face the challenge of feeding such a large population.

More importantly, With this unskilled population, Bangladesh economy cannot diversify its earning source to any technology based business sector as those sectors will need highly skilled workforce which is almost certainly unachievable for Bangladesh in the next ten years. This being a fact we can safely assume that Bangladesh economy is going to be dependent on labor intensive industries at least for the next ten years. In other words, Bangladesh is going to ride on its unskilled and cheap labor.

With no other sector looking as potent as RMG sector, it is probably fair to assume that Bangladesh will be dependent on RMG industry for the next decade. With a superficial look, this seems to be a very fine avenue to continue. RMG has not lost its market during global recession (primarily because Bangladesh can make inexpensive products) and it is growing robustly even after the post recession era. Around 4 million people are now employed in this industry (Islam, 2007) and that helps the country to tackle its problem of unemployment. With unemployment and underemployment sharing 40% of the labor force (Banglapedia, 2010) between them, RMG is indeed a savior for Bangladesh. Moreover, countries like China are in a disadvantageous position to compete with Bangladesh as their labor cost is shooting up.

But there is one question which is unattended. Is Bangladesh’s RMG fed growth giving birth to development? Or is it creating ‘growth without development’?

Before attending this question we must understand what growth without development is and how it can paralyze an economy. Growth and development are two different economic phenomena. Growth refers to the simple increase in per capita income of a country. It has no relevance to the much desired economic equality. For example, economic growth has taken place in Gabon, a west central African country, who has a GDP per capita (purchasing power parity) of 14400 USD (CIA, 2011). The sharp rise of GDP was seen after the country discovered large stocks of oil in the 1970s. But the richest 20% of the population consume 90% of the wealth and a third of the population lives in poverty. And that is where we see no economic development. Economic development is a much broader concept than growth where the structural change and distributive pattern are important concepts. Perhaps a more vivid example of growth without development is our neighboring country India. With almost double digit growth taking place in recent years, India seems to be the new economic powerhouse of the world. But has the fate of the common people changed in India? Statistics would shout out in denial. For example, in Uttar Prodesh the infant mortality rate is 73 per 1000 live births where as it is 41 in Bangladesh, thought to be a largely underdeveloped country (Kiron karnick, 2006). Even in highly ‘developed’ Delhi, the infant mortality rate is 40. Same picture can be seen in the education system in rural India.

Obviously Bangladesh’s RMG sector has given employment to many and earned a massive amount of foreign currency but has it been able to change the fate of its workers? The answer is a big, bold no. Because we can see that even though our RMG sector is blooming large, the workers of the industry are still poor and no change has taken place there. Even the much awaited minimum wage has only nominal impact. Jyoti Rahman, an applied macroeconomist, has calculated Consumer Price Index for garments workers using a basket of rice, lentil, soya bean oil and salt. 1 kilo rice, 250 gram lentil, 40 ml soya bean oil and 10mg salt can make a plate of meal. With the minimum wage of November 2006 (which was 1662 taka) a person could buy 43 such plates while with 2010’s minimum wage (which is 3000 taka) a person can buy 51 such plates. (rahman, 2010) So the increase is only by one sixth of the previous earnings.

But have not we heard that RMG industry has shown unprecedented and even unexpected growth at this time? If that is so then who are actually reaping the benefits? Is not it a fact then that the wealth is getting accumulated within the hands of the owners? Only employing people is not the indication of development. Bringing a change in the living standards of masses is.
The reason why I analyzed the current state of the economy is that economic policymakers seem to be quite happy with the direction the economy is heading and if there is no major change from the current state then after 10 years we will be a high growth, low developed nation still depending on its poor labors.

So let us see where are we making the mistakes. The first mistake is that we are depending too much on our cheap labor. If we remain to be the sweatshops of developed countries then we will continue to be sweatshops. Cheap labor cannot be the cornerstone of an economy as then it will always need people to be poor for the economy to run.

It is high time that we shift our focus from cheap labor. What we need to do is first develop a web of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) as that can ensure an equitable distribution of income. Large corporations can only accumulate capital to the owners and top level administration. SMEs, on the other hand, can disperse wealth and bring socio-economic stability. SMEs are not converged on one or two mega cities. Rather it is usually dispersed all through the region. And thus the development of SME sector leads to the development of the entire country. For SMEs to develop, we must use our banking system. It is a positive sign that the central bank these days are focusing on financing SMEs more than ever. If this effort becomes a success then our economy may get a new path of development in the next ten years. We must also use our expatriates. As we know that our expatriates do have significant amount of money to invest but the unfavorable investment climate hinders them from investing. We do need foreign investment in the industrial sector to increase the contribution of industrial sector to GDP (industrial sector contributed only 29.77% of 2006-07’s GDP). With a overly chubby service sector (49% of GDP in 2006-07), we need to have industrial sector expanding and the best way for it is to use foreign currency with having our citizens in charge which is only possible if the expatriates start to invest.
The education system must improve as well. A country cannot become truly developed without education. If we look to China we will see that so far their growth has done little to create development but now they are focusing on education which may get them very good results in the coming decades. To create a diversified economy, we will need technically skilled university graduates in different fields.

The future of Bangladesh economy depends on another very important contributor, agriculture. Even though agriculture’s contribution is only 21% in GDP, most Bangladeshis earn their living from this field. Moreover, as we know, the availability of food grains is very important for socio-economic stability and that comes from agriculture.

The economic future of Bangladesh in the next ten years seems to be more or less set. With our cheap labor based sector(s) doing well, we can expect a growth of 6% or even 8% if we can ensure the supply of energy to the industries. But we must understand that cheap labor based economy will not be able to develop the region as it only converges wealth and does not disperse it. We must give increased focus to building an SME based economy with a good education system. Then the wealth will be dispersed and then and only then we may expect of a properly developed economy.

Save On Your Business’ Overhead Costs By Downsizing Space

When looking to save money, managers and small business owners often spend hours staring at budgets, talking to suppliers, and trying to determine whether any of their employees are expendable. They think about cutting production or eliminating year-end bonuses. They turn to consultants and other outside advisors for advice.

But rarely do they put down the phone, look away from their computer screens, and assess the physical office space that sits around them. For any non-virtual business, the cost of renting and maintaining an office space reflects a considerable investment – one that likely comprises a large chunk of monthly overhead. Cutting down on that space can save a business when it comes to rent, utilities, maintenance, and supplies.

However, if you’re a small business owner you’re probably reading this and thinking to yourself – How can I simply downsize my company’s space? We already fill every room in the office; how can we use anything less?

These are valid questions, and some businesses certainly do not have the ability to downsize their already-limited space. But there are definitely ways to that one can use less office space and have the ability to save on overhead as a result. Here are a few tips:

-Enter the cloud. Jumping onto the cloud computing bandwagon can provide your business with tremendous efficiencies and cost savings. But it can also help you go paperless and use less space. Instead of putting all your client contracts in filing cabinets, for example, you can use a contract management service such as Contract Logix digitize these documents and store them in the cloud.

-Get remote storage. If there are items in your office that are rarely accessed on a regular basis, you may want to consider putting them in a nearby storage facility that can easily be accessed when necessary. Such facilities, on a per-square foot basis, are usually going to be far cheaper than rented office space.

-Have a telecommuting system. In most offices it is people that take up the majority of the space. So you can save on room by removing employees from the workplace – not by firing them, but by initiating a policy whereby one or several workers telecommute. This policy may establish a telecommuting rotation, for example, whereby a different employee works from home on each day of the week. Since you only need a desk for every employee currently in the office, such an approach can translate into substantial space savings.

These are a few tips to keep in mind when looking to save money by downsizing office space. While any cost-cutting measure likely requires some sacrifices, some businesses may find this strategy to be both productive and manageable – and, moreover, it may lead to peripheral benefits in the long run.

Advantageous Business Instincts

What makes a successful business entrepreneur? Ask a hundred different business professionals and you’d likely get a 100 different answers to this question. However, many of the responses would boil down to innate instincts that some people have and some people don’t. And many of these instincts can be categorized similarly, based upon the nature of different industries. Here are 5 particularly advantageous business instincts:

Global outlook - No matter how small your business may start, it’s smart to think of how your company could evolve into a global entity. These days, thanks to the Internet, social media and globalization the world is flatter and more interconnected than ever. The ambitious entrepreneur should be anticipating the need for an international tax lawyer, foreign bank accounts, and bilingual service options. Otherwise, you risk alienating yourself from every non-English speaking nation in the world.

Anticipating new trends - No businessman or woman would be successful without the ability to anticipate new trends and create action plans based on those instincts. He or she may not always be right, but it’s better to swing and miss often for that occasional home run than to strikeout looking and slowly fade into oblivion. In other words, the percentage for success airs heavily on the side of high volume forays into new markets.

Eagerness to upgrade - Once your company is up and running, a healthy instinct to have is an eagerness to upgrade your hardware, software, energy infrastructure and application platforms. These days many offices are switching to cloud services, energy efficient business models, and real time communications. Look into the benefits of these cutting edge upgrades and you’ll more respected by your employees and clients.

Putting together a cohesive team-The leader of a company is responsible for putting together a team that gels and works well together. This includes financial officers, programmers, social media experts, search engine optimizers, web designers, and attorneys. Create your business ‘dream team.’

Proper respect for the Internet - Any business “entrepreneur” who doesn’t realize the present and future influence of the Internet on commerce and society is not likely to survive long. The rise of e-commerce alone should be enough for business owners to embrace the Internet. At the same time, you want to have a healthy respect for strong security safeguards.

The instincts of a business entrepreneur should vary between personality traits and shrewd objective decision-making skills. This will enable you to both deal with people while also optimizing your business for a variety of economic landscapes.

When is A Good Time To Think About Going Into Business For Yourself?

Everyone dreams of going into business for themselves. What could be better than an exciting and rewarding style of employment that relies on yourself rather than having to follow someone else’s rules? But is it for you and when is the right time to try it? On the one hand, it could be an exciting, rewarding and provide those people who are brave enough to try it with a work life that they have always dreamed of, that leaves them fulfilled and wealthy. On the other hand, many more people who go into business on their own end up failing and nearly all people underestimate just how much work it can take as well as how much of their time it will take for many years.

For those people who do decide to make the leap into working for themselves, there are a few things they need to weigh up first. The main one is when is the right time to make that jump?

This can be tough to decide, especially when the economy is in the tank as it is at the moment and therefore it is riskier for both employed and self-employed alike. That said, many people see the bad economy as the sign they need to take that first step. After all, it is better to work for yourself and have a go at beating the economy, than to work for someone else who could fire you at any moment. Sure, working for someone else comes with more security and a steady pay check but these days there is less and less job security and employers cannot promise you anything more than you could get on your own. Consequently many budding entrepreneurs are jumping shift and beginning to control their own employment futures.

One argument for when to go into business is when you are still young, as you can afford to dedicate more time to the business without having too many family commitments to worry about. But people who already have families can still do it, provided they work out a way to get the work / life balance right – perhaps by working from home. In reality the best time to do it is simple – when you are ready.

Alex is a personal finance writer and blogger, who writes about everything from savings to loans to life insurance .

When is a Good Time to Think About Taking Out a Remortgage?

When weighing up the pros and cons of re-mortgages and whether they are worth it for you, the first question to be asked is whether you are the type of person who wants to go through the hassle? When it comes to finances, some people prefer to arrange their twenty-five year mortgage at a set rate and then leave it at that. These people will never even contemplate the option of swapping mortgages during that twenty five years and will be happy with their provider. On the flip side, there are plenty of people out there who see it as important to stay permanently on top of their financial situation and their research, always looking out for the best deals out there. Such people will normally go through a re-mortgage at least once in their lifetime.

The process of re-mortgaging in essence involves taking out a different mortgage under new terms to the one you currently have, either through the same lender or through a new lender entirely. The market for re-mortgages is always competitive (although slightly less so in the current financial climate) and there are always mortgage companies out there looking to win you over to their company with a good deal on interest rates. Consequently they will all try to beat your current monthly repayment.

Of course the best time to look into getting yourself a new mortgage deal is when your current special rate of mortgage or mortgage deal is approaching its end date. Perhaps you are due to revert to a higher interest mortgage rate, or the standard variable rate is looking precarious and you want to lock yourself into a good rate again. To do this you need to simply consult with your current mortgage company as well as your Prime meridian insurance company.

Another reason might be that you find yourself needing to raise some finance and therefore want to borrow that money at a far cheaper rate than you could get from normal loans. By going through a re-mortgage you would be able to free up some cash from the equity in your home, which you could then use to clear all sorts of unsecured loans that you are paying off at a more expensive interest rate.

It is important not to be frivolous with your mortgage, but a careful and well researched re-mortgage can be a useful financial tool.

Learning To Save More and Spend Less

Sounds obvious doesn’t it? But it is a basic principle that a lot of people forget about when they are trying to organize their finances effectively. People really shouldn’t need to be reminded of it because it is painfully simple and obvious. Nevertheless those obvious things are most obviously the things that people tend to
miss the most. Just like diets, if you are massively overweight, shouldn’t it be simple and obvious that you need to eat less and do more exercise in order to get rid of that excess weight? Clearly people have a tendency to sometimes just ignore the obvious.

When it comes to finances, the best tip that you will ever hear is also the one that is most obvious. And so it is that you need to just remember this. If you want to
betotally and for ever free of financial stress, if you want to create a whole new level of wealth for yourself, and if you want to live a fulfilled, happy and contented
life, and if you don’t want to get yourself mixed up in any kind of financial mess, what’s more if you would really love todouble or triple your savings, as well as increase your financial investments, &multiply your stocks and shares and then considerably scale your life upwards, then all you need to do is: Earn More& Spend less.

Sure, its easier said than done. Now try doing it though. Simply try not spending on something. And then try to earn a few extra bucks. Combine these two and that’s the only financial tip you will ever need. Lastly, learn to work out where you waste money and how you waste money. When it comes to saving, these are the moments that you can then learn to avoid so that you don’t waste money any more. If you know you blow money on coffee then stay away from coffee shops. If you buy too many cd’s then stay away from record shops. Simple!

James is a financial blogger and writer, who writes about everything from contractor tax to life insurance.

Understanding Individual Voluntary Arrangements

Individual Voluntary Arrangements (also known as IVA’s) are very similar to Debt Management Plans. Debt Management Plans themselves are extremely useful financial tools for people trying to get themselves out of serious debt. A great many people notch up debts very quickly and then they get themselves into evenworse trouble once they realise they don’t know what they need to do in order to get themselves out of that debt. The resulting situation normally causes all sorts of problems when their debts begin to attract ever more high interest and then they soon spiral out of control. Much better, if you are struggling, to sign yourself up to some kind of debt management plan, something that is normally a kind of agreement that is set out between the people you owe the money to and yourself.

In turn, an IVA, or Individual Voluntary Arrangement works in almost the same way as a Debt Management Plan with just a few minor differences. An Individual Voluntary Arrangement can also be used for debts that are unsecured and issimilarly used so that the person in debt can make equal monthly payments to each and every creditor. However, Individual Voluntary Arrangements are mostly used when the situation is specifically related to larger debts (those in the region of £15,000 or more). Individual Voluntary Arrangements are also a legal agreement to which both the lender and borrower (herein known as debtors and creditors) are legally bound to stick to once they have signed up. Finally, it is worth also pointing out that Individual Voluntary Arrangements will normally last for approximately five years and that any balance that remains outstanding by the end of that time period will eventually be written off.

James is a financial blogger and writer, who writes about everything from contractor tax to how to set up an umbrella company .

Five Steps to Becoming a Successful Small Business Owner

What is it that makes a successful small business owner? Is it just hard-nosed determination? Luck? Does it all depend on the strength of your product or idea or are there other factors that count too? Research has shown that entrepreneurs and successful business owners share a number of common character traits that help them achieve that success. This article will look at the five most common character traits for success:

Creative Thinking – Thinking outside the box is the most common characteristic of successful business leaders and entrepreneurs. Whether it’s a product that no one has thought of yet, or a way of influencing or changing the market in their given field, entrepreneurs have a tendency to be able to simply spot things that other, less successful business owners cannot see. How they do this varies from person to person but commonly entrepreneurs will constantly be asking themselves questions such as ‘How?’ and ‘What If’

The Ability to Ignore Evidence – One of the hardest things to do in business is to follow your gut instincts when all of the evidence is telling you to do otherwise. Successful business owners and entrepreneurs tend to be able to ignore, or discount data and statistics or any other predictors that might give the average business owner sweaty palms. Being brave and taking a gamble is often the way to rise above the crowd.

Embracing the Unpredictable – Again, just as successful business visionaries are comfortable ignoring statistics so too are they willing to think outside the box and indeed permanently occupy that space outside the box. Ignoring data is one thing, but they also are often willing to fly by the seat of their pants, being unpredictable, deviating from the business plan (if they even have one) and going by gut instinct and ongoing product testing and revision alone.

Willingness to Experiment – This goes without saying bearing in mind the last two points, but all successful businesses will be built upon a willingness to experiment. This applies to products, decisions, processes and the various possible outcomes. Don’t experiment within your own preconceived parameters however; be prepared to experiment in all kinds of ways that you can’t even imagine when starting out. Let your results take you into new directions that you had not anticipated.

Be Prepared to Collaborate – Don’t be so driven that you cut your nose off to spite your face when it comes to dealing with other people. Have some humility and be aware that being driven is good for pushing the product or process forward but collaboration is necessary to really get the best out of your product and business. Work together with talented people and be prepared to reward them for that talent. Help them to help your business.

It is important to remember that most of these tips will not work for everyone. Indeed going outside the box with no business plan and paying no attention to data, evidence or research is probably a recipe for complete disaster. But if you have total faith in your business and you trust your instincts then you just might be a future entrepreneur and business visionary.

Alex is a writer and journalist who blogs regularly about issues affecting small businesses, covering everything from taxes to staff to legal issues. He also maintains a blog for a Chicago injury law firm Chicago injury law firm.

A Brief Guide to Debt Consolidation

Debt consolidation is a popular process in the current economic downturn that allows you to pay down all your many different debts into one single, larger debt. This might seem to be a strange concept and self-defeating but actually, when done correctly, it can be an excellent route out of crippling debts. That’s because debt collection means you get to no longer have to face the endless hassles and time wasting that comes with having to handle paying back multiple creditors. It achieves this by taking all those different creditors, such as financial companies and institutions, banks, credit card companies and store cards, umbrella companies and any other outstanding debts and getting them out of your line of sight – you never have to deal with them again. Instead, you end up only having to pay one debt and you get yourself some breathing room to manage your finances better. There are a number of ways of doing this, either using debt consolidation companies or alternatively one of the following thee methods:

Credit Card Debt Transfer:If your debts are all credit card based then this is the most obvious way for you to go about debt consolidation. Through credit card debt transfer it is possible to take all your credit cards with high interest rates and large balances outstanding into one new card. In doing this, you are able to then join one of the companies and cards that are offering extremely generous interest rates for an introductory period in order to entice you into using their card rather than your normal credit card. What’s more, if you time your balance transfer well, you should normally be able to find companies that are offering a fantastic 0% interest on the balances that you transfer over. This will normally be for 6 months, but again, that gives you some much-needed breathing room and repayment time.

Take Out your Own Secured Loan: If you are fortunate enough to be blessed with you own property then one possible route out of debt is to take out a secured loan. You can only do this if you have a large percentage of available equity in your property but if that it is the case then it is the ideal solution. Taking out a secured loan means you can clear all of your outstanding debts in one swoop by making it a part of your mortgage loan

Take Out an Unsecured Loan: This is the best option for anyone who hasn’t got their own house. Provided you have good credit and a good relationship with your bank then you should be able to take out one consolidating loan to move all those debts into one place and get a single, lower repayment payment.

Paul Romer’s Charter City 101

Starting in the 90s, Stanford University economist professor Paul Romer dusted off the concept of “charter cities” and applied to the idea of developing nations. His take on the century’s old model of sovereign merchant cities was to use existing first world capital to refurbish third world regions while actually making them profitable. Essentially Romer peddled the idea of public aid in the form of private capital. Instead of developing countries getting packages of rise and medicare and financial tips from the United Nations, they will get actual investments and an influx of competitive markets. And, in what may have been Romer’s Nostradamus-like anticipation of the chaotic financial lawlessness that undermined America’s own economy during the end of the aughts, Romer pushed the idea of sound rules in order to regulate and control the technocratic economy he foresaw arising from a charter city.

What is a charter city?

In traditional terms, a charter city is simply a city that defines its own rules, essentially making it independent from state, provincial, regional, or national law. The newer definition of a charter city, as depicted by Paul Romer, is an enclave of land located in a developing region in which the infrastructure, or ‘seed money’ so to speak, is provided by a foreign country. The charter creates its own laws and works to draw investors while another country, the guarantor, signs on to protect the charter, as England did for Hong Kong.

What are some examples of charter cities?

The example often pointed to, perhaps because of its success, is Hong Kong. Though Hong Kong isn’t traditionally thought of as a charter city, it’s development followed the trajectory set out by Romer and meets all the requirements. An example that is often overlooked, likely because of its abysmal failure, is Henry Ford’s Fordlandia. Developed in Brazil in 1928 in order to monopolize a source of rubber for his motor company, Ford ended up abandoning his capitalist dream haven at a loss of 20 million dollars.

Clearly Romer is undeterred. Recently the intrepid economist has honed in Honduras as what he thinks could be the next Hong Kong. Honduras has expressed interest. Madagascar had expressed interest as well, before riots drove out the leader, Marc Ravalomanana, who was considering signing on.

Whether or not charter cities, as envisioned by Paul Romer, come to pass or not, bold new initiatives will have to undertake the project of housing and caring for the over 3 billion people that are estimated to migrate to urban cities in the coming decades. Rulers in Africa continue to meet with Romer, perhaps intrigued by the idea of experimental democracies that could benefit from free markets.

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